“One of Wall Street’s Top Analysts” – CNBC

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Unparalleled Expertise

 

“Mark Kalinowski has his finger on the pulse of the restaurant business like no other Wall Street analyst… he has broken more news about McDonald’s than the reporters assigned to the beat… Kalinowski rolls up his sleeves, dives in and brings important news to the surface for clients”

-Huffington Post

 

“The Burger King with accurate predictions… The Big Mac of predicting the company’s [McDonald’s] sales.”

-The Wall Street Journal

 

Lead Analyst:

 
 

Mark Kalinowski
PRESIDENT & CEO

Kalinowski Equity Research LLC provides its clients with value-added, forward-looking information that helps them make informed decisions about restaurant-stock investing.

Domino's Pizza, Inc. (DPZ)
Mark Kalinowski

DPZ (Post-Call): Adjusting Our Forecasts / Q4 Earnings Preview

Earlier today, McDonald’s management remarked on its Q4 earnings conference call that “with a strong US dollar that may continue to strengthen into 2025, we expect from foreign currency to be a full year headwind to 2025 EPS, totaling in the range of $0.20 to $0.30 based on current exchange rates.”

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McDonald's Corp (MCD)
Mark Kalinowski

MCD (Post-Call): Updating EPS Estimates Based on Currencies, Interest Expense

Earlier today (Monday), McDonald’s reported adjusted Q4 EPS of $2.83. This was fairly close to our $2.85 forecast and sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of $2.84. We calculate that the adjusted Q4 tax rate was 19.9%. This was more favorable than our 20.5% projection and consensus of 20.6%. The lower-than-forecast tax rate helped Q4 EPS by about +2 cents, relative to our projection.

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YUM! Brands Inc. (YUM)
Mark Kalinowski

YUM (Post-Call): G&A Growth, Interest Expenses, Tax Rate Seen Weighing on 2025 EPS Growth

Earlier today, Yum Brands reported adjusted Q4 EPS of $1.61, coming in in-between our $1.63 forecast and sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of $1.60. The Q4 adjusted tax rate was 25.1%. This was less favorable than our 22.0% projection and consensus at 21.8%. By our math, the difference between 25.1% and 22.0% hurt Q4 adjusted EPS by about -7 cents.

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