“One of Wall Street’s Top Analysts” – CNBC

Expert Stock Coverage

Unparalleled Expertise

 

“Mark Kalinowski has his finger on the pulse of the restaurant business like no other Wall Street analyst… he has broken more news about McDonald’s than the reporters assigned to the beat… Kalinowski rolls up his sleeves, dives in and brings important news to the surface for clients”

-Huffington Post

 

“The Burger King with accurate predictions… The Big Mac of predicting the company’s [McDonald’s] sales.”

-The Wall Street Journal

 

Lead Analyst:

 
 

Mark Kalinowski
PRESIDENT & CEO

Kalinowski Equity Research LLC provides its clients with value-added, forward-looking information that helps them make informed decisions about restaurant-stock investing.

Restaurant Industry
Mark Kalinowski

Restaurants: Industry Shows Lowest Year-to-Year Growth in Feb. 2025 Since Feb. 2021

Data out today from the U.S. Census shows that restaurants’ market share (with grocery stores/supermarkets making up the other component) was 55.6% in February 2025. This is -90 basis points below the all-time high, set in November 2024. The February 2025 data also shows a -40 basis-point sequential decline in market share from January 2025.

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Restaurant Industry
Mark Kalinowski

Restaurant Inflation Posts Largest Sequential Rise Since March 2023

The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data shows that prices for food-at-home (grocery stores and supermarkets) rose by +1.9% in February — sequentially the same as January’s +1.9%. This +1.9% number compares with price for food-away-from-home (restaurants) that increased by +3.7% year-over-year in February (sequentially up by +30 basis points from January’s +3.4%). This marks the 23rd month in a row for which restaurant pricing is outpacing grocery/supermarket pricing. We would also note that the +30 basis-point sequential gain for restaurant pricing is the largest such sequential gain since a +40 basis-point move back in March 2023.

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