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Wendy's (WEN)
Mark Kalinowski

WEN: An Acquisition of Wendy’s Looks More Likely than Not

After yesterday’s market close, Wendy’s largest shareholder — Trian Fund Management LP, which owns about 19% of WEN — disclosed that it may seek to acquire Wendy’s. That news has sent up shares of WEN by about +11% in today’s regular trading session, as of this writing. Should investors buy more stock in WEN, in this context?

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Restaurant Industry
Mark Kalinowski

Burger Sector: What Same-Store Sales Trends Hint at re: Average Unit Volumes

Recently, McDonald’s, Wendy’s, and Burger King (owned by Restaurant Brands International [QSR; Not Rated]) all reported their Q1 2022 U.S. same-store sales. In this report, we discuss how these same-store sales results — and potential results for full-year 2022 — relate to these three concepts’ average unit volumes (AUVs). We further discuss what this means for the companies, and their stocks.

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Restaurant Industry
Mark Kalinowski

Restaurants: Which Full-Service Stocks are Best-Positioned Should the Market Recover?

We looked at 12 full-service restaurant stocks, and examined: (1) how far below they have fallen their five-year highs, and (2) how far they’d have to fall to equal their five-year lows. Our thinking is that the stocks that are most below the five-year highs, and simultaneously would have less to fall to get back to their five-year lows, might be best-positioned for meaningful outperformance should the general stock market recover.

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Restaurant Industry
Mark Kalinowski

Restaurants: Market Share vs. Grocery Stores Sets a New Monthly Record in April

Data out today from the U.S. Census shows that restaurants’ market share (with grocery stores making up the other component) was 54.9% in April 2022. This is a year-over-year improvement of +260 basis points from the April 2021 number of 52.3%. Even more impressively, as best as we can tell, this 54.9% market share figure for April 2022 is an all-time monthly high for the U.S. restaurant industry.

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