“One of Wall Street’s Top Analysts” – CNBC

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“Mark Kalinowski has his finger on the pulse of the restaurant business like no other Wall Street analyst… he has broken more news about McDonald’s than the reporters assigned to the beat… Kalinowski rolls up his sleeves, dives in and brings important news to the surface for clients”

-Huffington Post

 

“The Burger King with accurate predictions… The Big Mac of predicting the company’s [McDonald’s] sales.”

-The Wall Street Journal

 

Lead Analyst:

 
 

Mark Kalinowski
PRESIDENT & CEO

Kalinowski Equity Research LLC provides its clients with value-added, forward-looking information that helps them make informed decisions about restaurant-stock investing.

YUM! Brands Inc. (YUM)
Mark Kalinowski

YUM (Post-Call): Taco Bell Achieves Double-Digit Two-Year Same-Store Sales

Earlier today, Yum Brands reported adjusted Q2 EPS of $1.16, surpassing our $0.97 forecast and sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of $0.96. We attribute the EPS beat primarily to: (1) better-than-expected same-store sales at Taco Bell and KFC U.S., (2) leverage achieved due to sales strength, and (3) a better-than-anticipated adjusted tax rate of 20.0% (versus our 21.5% projection and consensus of 21.5%). Taco Bell, KFC, Pizza Hut, and The Habit Burger Grill all

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McDonald's Corp (MCD)
Mark Kalinowski

MCD (Post-Call): Best Two-Year U.S. Same-Store Sales Since Q1 2005

Earlier today, McDonald’s reported adjusted Q2 EPS of $2.37, ahead of our $2.13 estimate and sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of $2.12. Currencies helped Q2 EPS by +13 cents. Management looks for Q3 EPS to be helped by about +3 to +5 cents due to favorable currencies. The full-year outlook is +20 to +22 cents, suggesting perhaps a -2 cent hit to Q4 EPS. Closely-watched U.S. same-store sales soared by +25.9%, topping our +24.3%

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Cheesecake Factory (CAKE)
Mark Kalinowski

CAKE (Post-Call): Margins Coming Back as Guests Come Back

After Tuesday’s market close, The Cheesecake Factory reported adjustedQ2 EPS of $0.80, ahead of our $0.63 forecast and sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of $0.77. Factors contributing to the Q2 EPS outperformance relative to our forecasts include: (1) Cost of Sales/Revenues 22.0% actual vs. 22.5% projected, (2) Labor Expenses/Revenues 35.7% actual vs. 36.1% projected, and (3) D&A/Revenues 2.9% actual vs. 3.3% projected. Second-quarter same-store sales for brand Cheesecake Factory rose by +150.0%, slightly exceeding

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