WEN Updating Our Same-Store Sales and EPS Estimates for 2020E & 2021E

By Mark Kalinowski Published on March 26, 2020 at 12:00 AM

We lower our U.S. same-store sales estimates for Wendy’s (WEN; Buy) as follows:
Q1E 2020: down by -4.8 percentage points to +0.2%
Q2E 2020: down by -22 percentage points to -15.0%
Q3E 2020: down by -11.5 percentage points to -5.0%
Q4E 2020: down by -7 percentage points to 0.0%
Full-year 2020E: down by -6.4 percentage points to -5.0%
Full-year 2021E: up by +5 percentage points to +8%

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YUM Updating Same-Store Sales and EPS Estimates for 2020E & 2021E

By Mark Kalinowski Published on March 26, 2020 at 12:00 AM

We lower our worldwide aggregate same-store sales estimates for Yum Brands (YUM; Buy) as follows:
Q1E 2020: down by -8 percentage points to -8%
Q2E 2020: down by -23 percentage points to -23%
Q3E 2020: down by -15 percentage points to -13%
Q4E 2020: down by -7 percentage points to -5%
Full-year 2020E: down by -14 percentage points to -13%
Full-year 2021E: up by +5 percentage points to +7%

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SBUX Lowering Estimates as China SameStore Sales Down by -78% in February

By Mark Kalinowski Published on March 5, 2020 at 12:00 AM

Earlier today, Starbucks (SBUX; Buy, $76.19) filed an 8-K which quantified some of the potential impacts on its business from coronavirus in China (a company-owned market for Starbucks). As a result, we lower our full-fiscal 2020E EPS estimate by -23 cents, to $2.80. And, given this lower base of anticipated earnings coming off of 2020, partially offset by 2021 potentially lapping some easy comparisons, we take down our full fiscal 2021E EPS forecast by -17 cents, to $3.25. We note the following:

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