PZZA (Post-Call): Q1 was Indeed Epic

By Ryan D. Lavender Published on May 6, 2021 at 1:26 PM

Earlier today, Papa John’s reported adjusted Q1 EPS of $0.90, well above our $0.53 forecast and sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of $0.56. The EPS outperformance appears mainly driven by much better-than-expected same-store sales. The Q1 tax rate of 20.4% was a little more favorable than our 21.0% estimate, as well.

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SBUX (Post-Call): Quarter-to-Quarter EPS Volatility a Bit Frothy

By Ryan D. Lavender Published on January 26, 2021 at 3:23 PM

After Tuesday’s market close, Starbucks reported adjusted fiscal Q1 (calendar Q4) EPS of $0.61, above its previously-stated $0.50-$0.55 target range. Our forecast was at $0.54, with sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of $0.55.

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DPZ (Post-Call) Investments and Currencies Likely to Slice Q2 EPS

By Mark Kalinowski Published on April 23, 2020 at 12:00 AM

Earlier today, Domino’s (DPZ; Neutral, $364.00) reported Q1 EPS of $3.07, well above our $2.35 forecasts and sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of $2.32. The earnings beat is largely due to tax rate, which came in at -3.7% (i.e., a helpful tax rate) vs. our 19.0% forecast and consensus of 18.7%. If the Q1 tax rate had been 19.0% (and nothing else in the Q1 income statement was changed), we estimate that Q1 EPS would have been about $2.40 — an earnings beat, but nevertheless not quite as good as what appeared at first glance. On today’s conference call, management commented that the Q1 tax rate reflected “tax benefits on equitybased compensation,” and that it anticipates continued volatility in the tax rate going forward.

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