Could U.S. Restaurant Industry Same-Store Sales Turn Positive in Q4

By Mark Kalinowski Published on October 19, 2020 at 12:00 AM

Could the U.S. restaurant industry as a whole get back to positive same-store sales in Q4 2020? At this point, we believe that our Kalinowski Restaurant Industry Index — comprised of 47 publicly-traded restaurant concepts, and which generated over $180 billion in 2019 U.S. systemwide sales, and this accounted for over 30% of the overall domestic restaurant industry — has about a 40% chance of turning positive in Q4 2020.

Updating our Q3E Kalinowski Restaurant Industry Same-Store Sales Index

By Mark Kalinowski Published on October 14, 2020 at 12:00 AM

With this report, we update our data-driven Kalinowski Restaurant Industry Index for Q3E to -2.3%. Given all of the upheaval of the last six months, this is a number that should be considered favorably, even though it is in negative territory. It marks substantial sequential improvement from Q2 2020’s -17.5% figure, and is even better than Q1 2020’s -3.3% showing.

Updating our Q3E Kalinowski Quick-Service Other Same-Store Sales Index

By Mark Kalinowski Published on October 13, 2020 at 12:00 AM

With this report, we update our data-driven Kalinowski Quick-Service Other Index for Q3E to +4.3%. As a reminder, we define “quick-service other” as all quick-service concepts excluding the pizza, burger, and sandwich categories.