Comparing Casual Dining & Family Dining Concepts Same-Store Sales Trends

By Mark Kalinowski Published on May 21, 2020 at 12:00 AM

A number of full-service restaurant companies have been generous as of late in terms of providing weekly same-store sales data. In this report, we compile and compare the recent same-store sales trends of various casual dining and family dining concepts. We also look at some segment trends, and see what this may imply for recent same-store trends of these concepts that have not yet provided samestore sales results for the last few weeks.

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BlackBox Implications for Restaurant Industry Same-Store Sales

By Mark Kalinowski Published on March 5, 2020 at 12:00 AM

This is the final report in our series of reports showing the correlation between the widely-watched BlackBox Index — which aggregates same-store sales from 175+ restaurant concepts representing $75 billion in domestic systemwide sales — with various publicly-traded restaurant concepts’ same-store sales.

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DIN Adios to Our Prior Q3E Forecasts

By Mark Kalinowski Published on August 29, 2019 at 12:00 AM

Given weaker-than-expected same-store sales trends in the family-dining and casualdining sector quarter-to-date, we lower our Q3E same-store sales forecasts for IHOP and Applebee’s (both owned by Dine Brands [DIN; Neutral]). For IHOP, our Q3E samestore sales estimate is reduced by -140 basis points, to +0.8%, which becomes the new “low on the sell-side” forecast, according to Consensus Metrix data. For Applebee’s, we take down our Q3E projection by -150 basis points, to -1.5%, as compared to current sell-side consensus of -1.2%.

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