PZZA Possible Implications from Domino’s Lead to Updated Forecasts

By Mark Kalinowski Published on October 8, 2020 at 12:00 AM

Earlier today, Domino’s (DPZ; Buy, $403.46) reported a Q3 EPS miss relative to our expectations (and sell-side consensus). This miss was not caused by same-store sales trends, which came in above expectations for both the U.S. and International segments in Q3. Below the top line, multiple issues came into play, including spending related to the pandemic (such as higher pay for front-line employees, higher sick pay, and the need to buy more cleaning equipment), and what Domino’s described as all-time high cheese costs.

DPZ (Post-Call) Higher Cheese and G&A Costs Matter

By Mark Kalinowski Published on October 8, 2020 at 12:00 AM

Earlier today, Domino’s reported that its Q3 EPS came to $2.49, short of our $2.79 forecast and sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of $2.78 (which had been at $2.73 as recently as eight days ago).

PZZA Some Cheesy Estimate Revisions

By Mark Kalinowski Published on April 15, 2020 at 12:00 AM

The price of block cheese has deteriorated from $1.8375 per pound as of March 23rd to $1.01 per pound as of April 14th. In our coverage list, the largest potential beneficiary of this dynamic is Papa John’s (PZZA; Buy), which owns and operates about 18% of its North American store base (or to look at it another way, Papa John’s owns and operates about 11% of its worldwide store base).