Look to Popeyes to Learn about Domino’s and Papa John’s (Updated)

By Ryan D. Lavender Published on February 16, 2021 at 4:59 PM

In December, we published a report — “Look to Popeyes to Learn about Domino’s and Papa John’s” — in which we noted that Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen would lap highly challenging same-store sales comparisons before Domino’s and Papa John’s would, and how Popeyes performed might have some lessons for these pizza players. Since then, Popeyes’ parent company Restaurant Brands International (QSR; Not Rated) reported that Popeyes’ Q4 2020 U.S. same-store sales declined by -6.4%. This, of course, lapped Popeyes’ Q4 2019 U.S. same-store sales advance of +37.9% — the best quarter for any publicly-traded restaurant concept of meaningful size of which we are aware.

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WEN (Post-Call) Easier Same-Store Sales Comparisons to be Lapped in 2H

By Mark Kalinowski Published on August 7, 2019 at 12:00 AM

Earlier today, Wendy’s (WEN; Neutral) reported second-quarter adjusted EPS of $0.18 — one cent above our $0.17 forecast and sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of $0.17. We would note that D&A/Revenues came in at 7.2% actual vs. our 7.7% estimate, accounting for the $0.01 difference between the actual and our model. Given the one-cent EPS beat, we raise our full-year 2019E EPS estimate by one cent, to $0.64. (FYI, our full-year 2020E EPS forecast stays at $0.78.)

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DNKN (Post-Call) Espresso-Charged SameStore Sales in Q1

By Mark Kalinowski Published on May 2, 2019 at 12:00 AM

Earlier today, Dunkin’ Brands Group (DNKN; Neutral) reported first-quarter adjusted EPS of $0.67, five cents above our $0.62 forecast and consensus of $0.62.

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