By Ryan D. Lavender
Published on February 8, 2021 at 2:57 PM
With this note, we change our rating on Denny’s (DENN; $17.41) to Neutral (from Buy). This change reflects: (1) lowered EPS estimates for 2021E and 2022E, and (2) a reduced same-store sales forecast for Q1E 2021, despite what appears to be some meaningful help from a calendar-shift effect related to Denny’s 2020 being a 53-week fiscal year, and (3) being mindful of DENN shares’ run-up from their 52-week low of $4.50 (intraday March 19, 2020) to $17.41 as of this past Friday’s market close. (FYI, the stock is also up +18.6% year-to-date.)
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By Mark Kalinowski
Published on April 29, 2020 at 12:00 AM
Earlier today, Dine Brands (DIN; Buy, $48.13) reported adjusted Q1 EPS of $1.45, well above our $0.90 forecast and sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of $1.12. Shares are up intraday by over 20%+ due to the earnings beat and better other details than the Street generally expected.
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By Mark Kalinowski
Published on December 12, 2018 at 12:00 AM
With this report, we update our data-driven Kalinowski Quick-Service Burger Index for Q4E from +1.6% to +1.2%. (This follows our November 4th adjustment from +2.0% to +1.6%.) Today’s 40 basis-point decrease is based on our latest proprietary checks/ data as regards same-store sales performance for this segment during November, which looks like it was one of the weaker months during 2018 for burger-segment same-store sales. In part, the adjustment also reflects the reduction in our Wendy’s (WEN; Neutral) same-store sales forecast for Q4E yesterday to a new sell-side low (according to Consensus Metrix data) of 0.0%. (For more information, please refer to our December 11th report “WEN: Our Data-Driven Checks Regarding November Sales Suggest…”)
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