DPZ Update to 2019 Franchise Disclosure Document Provides More Info

By Mark Kalinowski Published on August 6, 2019 at 12:00 AM

In our June 17th report “DPZ: 2019 Franchise Disclosure Document Review for Domino’s,” (see also our June 18th “DPZ: Clarification re: 2019 Franchise Disclosure Document Review for Domino’s”) we included tables showing average weekly unit sales and median weekly unit sales for franchised, company-owned, and combined Domino’s U.S. stores for 2013-17 because — as of June 17th — data in this respect for 2018 was not yet part of the Franchisee Disclosure Document (FDD). However, Domino’s recently updated its 2019 FDD, and now includes this information for 2018. As such, here is that information for 2014-18:

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DPZ The Low Point for The New Normal… Or Not

By Mark Kalinowski Published on July 16, 2019 at 12:00 AM

Earlier today, Domino’s (DPZ; Buy) reported second-quarter EPS of $2.19, ahead of our $2.04 forecast and sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of $2.02. However, a lower-than-projected tax rate of 12.9% (versus our 20.5% projection and consensus of 19.8%) helped EPS by about $0.20 relative to our forecast. On the other hand, EPS was hampered by about $0.04 related to a loss on the sale of 59 New York City area stores. Taking the tax-rate and refranchising loss issues out, Q2 EPS would have been one cent below our forecast and one cent above sell-side consensus.

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Correlating Grubhub Data and U.S. Restaurant Sectors Same-Store Sales Trends

By Mark Kalinowski Published on July 8, 2019 at 12:00 AM

With third-party delivery aggregators continuing to grow, providing additional convenience to the consumer, we decided to look at various quarterly data provided by Grubhub (GRUB; Not Rated), correlating these data sets with various sectors’ same-store sales (for U.S. chain restaurants). To do this, we used six different Kalinowski Restaurant Industry Index sector indices, which are sorted by brand type and based on the weighted-average components from 48 different publiclytraded restaurant concepts. (The weightings are based on each concept’s 2018 U.S. systemwide sales, as measured by Technomic.)

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