YUM (Post-Call) Favorable Tax Rate Helps Q1 Adjusted EPS

By Mark Kalinowski Published on May 1, 2019 at 12:00 AM

Earlier today, Yum Brands (YUM; Buy) reported Q1 adjusted EPS of $0.82, surpassing our $0.72 forecast (which had incorporated an anticipated -$0.09 hit from markto-market of Yum’s investment in GrubHub [GRUB; Not Rated]) and the $0.81 consensus number (likely not apples-to-apples with our forecast). Yum notes that “We reflected the change in fair value of our investment in Grubhub by recording $20 million of pre-tax investment expense, resulting in a negative ($0.05) impact in EPS.”

Read More

CAKE (Post-Call) The Compass at the Factory Points Toward North Italia

By Mark Kalinowski Published on February 20, 2019 at 12:00 AM

After today’s (Wednesday’s) market close, The Cheesecake Factory (CAKE; Neutral) reported Q4 2018 adjusted EPS of $0.60, a bit short of our $0.63 forecast and sellside consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of $0.62. We attribute the shortfall to about $2.1 million in the “Loss on investment in unconsolidated affiliates” line, which on an EPS basis hampered Q4 EPS by about -$0.04.

Read More

MCD (Post-Call) Lots of Moving McPieces…What do They All Add Up to

By Mark Kalinowski Published on January 30, 2019 at 12:00 AM

Earlier today, McDonald’s reported adjusted Q4 EPS of $1.97, ahead of our $1.91 forecast and sell-side consensus of $1.89. We calculate that the adjusted tax rate was about 19.1%, versus our 24.5% forecast and consensus of 24.4%. If the adjusted tax rate had matched consensus, then by our math adjusted EPS would have come in closer to $1.84. McDonald’s points out the following long-term targets in today’s 8-K:

Read More