By Mark Kalinowski
Published on March 31, 2020 at 12:00 AM
We adjust our North America blended (company-owned and franchised combined) same-store sales estimates for Papa John’s (PZZA; Buy) as follows:
Q1E 2020: up by +130 basis points to an actual of +5.3%
Q2E 2020: down by -30 basis points to +3.7%
Q3E 2020: down by -10 basis points to +2.9%
Q4E 2020: stays at +2.5%
Full-year 2020E: up by +20 basis points to +3.6%
Full-year 2021E: up by +40 basis points to +3.0%
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By Mark Kalinowski
Published on March 30, 2020 at 12:00 AM
We lower our U.S. same-store sales estimates for The Cheesecake Factory (CAKE; Neutral) as follows:
Q1E 2020: down by -23 percentage points to -21.0%
Q2E 2020: down by -51.5 percentage points to -50%
Q3E 2020: down by -26.5 percentage points to -25%
Q4E 2020: down by -16.5 percentage points to -15%
Full-year 2020E: down by -29.4 percentage points to -27.8%
Full-year 2021E: up by +8.5 percentage points to +10.0%
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By Mark Kalinowski
Published on March 26, 2020 at 12:00 AM
We lower our U.S. same-store sales estimates for Wendy’s (WEN; Buy) as follows:
Q1E 2020: down by -4.8 percentage points to +0.2%
Q2E 2020: down by -22 percentage points to -15.0%
Q3E 2020: down by -11.5 percentage points to -5.0%
Q4E 2020: down by -7 percentage points to 0.0%
Full-year 2020E: down by -6.4 percentage points to -5.0%
Full-year 2021E: up by +5 percentage points to +8%
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