By Mark Kalinowski
Published on January 4, 2021 at 12:00 AM
Given greater-than-expected deceleration in same-store sales trends for the U.S. family dining sector during December, we reduce our Q4E Denny’s U.S. same-store sales projection by -400 basis points, to -32.0%. According to Consensus Metrix data, this places us as the low estimate on the sell-side in this regard. As of this writing, sell-side consensus is at -23.9%.
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By Mark Kalinowski
Published on December 3, 2020 at 12:00 AM
With this report, we update our data-driven Kalinowski Family Dining Index for Q4E to -23.2%. This figure is based on our latest proprietary checks/data as regards samestore sales performance for this segment during October and November. Our implied numbers for this October, November, and December are approximately -20%, -23%, and -27%, respectively.
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By Mark Kalinowski
Published on November 17, 2020 at 12:00 AM
Based on our data-driven checks, we believe that same-store sales for U.S. chain restaurants in the casual dining, family dining, and fine dining segments are all showing sequential deceleration for the first half of November relative to fullOctober. This new trend follows 5-6 consecutive months of either sequentially improving full-service same-store sales (or at least not meaningfully deteriorating sequential same-store sales).
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