DNKN (Post-Call) Not Spooked by a Favorable Q3 Tax Rate

By Mark Kalinowski Published on October 31, 2019 at 12:00 AM

Earlier today, Dunkin’ Brands Group (DNKN; Neutral) reported adjusted Q3 EPS of $0.90, surpassing our $0.81 forecast and sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of $0.81. We attribute about $0.06-$0.07 of the EPS beat to a better-than-expected adjusted tax rate (21.9% actual vs. 27.7% forecasted and 27.8% consensus).

YUM (Post-Call) Favorable Tax Rate Helps Q1 Adjusted EPS

By Mark Kalinowski Published on May 1, 2019 at 12:00 AM

Earlier today, Yum Brands (YUM; Buy) reported Q1 adjusted EPS of $0.82, surpassing our $0.72 forecast (which had incorporated an anticipated -$0.09 hit from markto-market of Yum’s investment in GrubHub [GRUB; Not Rated]) and the $0.81 consensus number (likely not apples-to-apples with our forecast). Yum notes that “We reflected the change in fair value of our investment in Grubhub by recording $20 million of pre-tax investment expense, resulting in a negative ($0.05) impact in EPS.”

DPZ (Post-Call) Investors Getting Used to Domino’s New Normal

By Mark Kalinowski Published on April 24, 2019 at 12:00 AM

Earlier today, Domino’s (DPZ; Buy) reported Q1 EPS of $2.20, ahead of our $2.10 forecast and sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of $2.09. The Q1 tax rate came in at 15.1%, more favorable than our 20.5% estimate (and 20.5% consensus). By our math, had the Q1 actual tax rate been 20.5%, then all else equal, Q1 EPS would have been $2.06.