Updating our Q2E Kalinowski Fast-Casual Same-Store Sales Index

By Ryan D. Lavender Published on June 7, 2021 at 9:05 PM

With this report, we update our data-driven Kalinowski Fast-Casual Index for Q2E to +32.6%. This is the one-year figure, lapping the -10.7% number from Q2 2020. On a two-year basis, the Kalinowski Fast-Casual Index for Q2E is at +18.3%. These numbers are based on our latest proprietary checks/data as regards same-store sales performance for this segment during April, May, and early June.

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Updating our Q4E Kalinowski Fast-Casual Same-Store Sales Index

By Mark Kalinowski Published on January 20, 2021 at 12:00 AM

With this report, we update our data-driven Kalinowski Fast Casual Index for Q4E to +3.4%. This figure is based on our latest proprietary checks/data as regards samestore sales performance for this segment during October, November, and December. We believe that November same-store sales were likely the best month of the quarter, while December was likely the worst month of the quarter. That said, we believe fastcasual sector same-store sales month-to-date in January are better than any month during Q4, thanks in part to beneficial effects from stimulus.

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Updating our Q3E Kalinowski Fast-Casual Same-Store Sales Index

By Mark Kalinowski Published on October 12, 2020 at 12:00 AM

With this report, we update our data-driven Kalinowski Fast-Casual Index for Q3E to +3.6%. While the overall number for the fast-casual sector is in positive territory for Q3, there is a wide variety of performances in terms of same-store sales by individual brand. Wingstop (WING; Not Rated) has already reported +25.4% same-store sales growth for its Q3, and we would not be surprised to see Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG; Not Rated) exceed sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of +6.4% when it reports its Q3 results on after the market close on Wednesday, October 21st.

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