WEN (Post-Call) It is Called the Most Important Meal of the Day, After All…

By Mark Kalinowski Published on August 5, 2020 at 12:00 AM

Earlier today, Wendy’s (WEN; Buy, $23.81) reported adjusted EPS of $0.12, matching our recently-raised $0.12 forecast, and coming in one cent above sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of $0.11. Although company-operated restaurantlevel margins in Q2 at 14.4% were down year-over-year, they still amounted to a figure above our 12.0% projection and consensus of 11.3%. Wendy’s cites “a higher average check, labor efficiencies, and other dining room closure related efficiencies” as positive factors. Management also pointed to quicker drive-thru speeds.

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SBUX (Post-Call) June and July Sales Trends Better than Expected

By Mark Kalinowski Published on July 28, 2020 at 12:00 AM

After today’s market close, Starbucks (SBUX; Buy, $74.64) reported fiscal Q3 (calendar Q2) adjusted EPS of -$0.46 — better than our -$0.63 forecast and sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of -$0.62. In its June 10th business update, Starbucks indicated it was then targeting fiscal Q3 adjusted EPS of -$0.55 to -$0.70. Fiscal Q3 EPS coming in better than the high end of the target range relates to better-than-expected June same-store sales (for example, June U.S. same-store sales down by -19%).

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MCD (Post-Call) Some Challenges, and Some Bright Spots

By Mark Kalinowski Published on July 28, 2020 at 12:00 AM

Earlier today, McDonald’s (MCD; Buy, $199.26) reported Q2 EPS of $0.65, short of our $0.85 forecast and sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of $0.73. There was a $31 million one-time payment to distribution centers for obsolete inventory, and an increase in bad debt reserve (related to rents and royalty deferrals) of $45 million. By our math, these items combined represent about 8 cents on an EPS basis. For more info see today’s 8-K at:
http://d18rn0p25nwr6d.cloudfront.net/CIK-0000063908/ fea3a523-303b-43df-830a-5228f5ee4148.pdf

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