WEN Updating Forecasts on Planned 2020 Nationwide Breakfast Launch

By Mark Kalinowski Published on September 9, 2019 at 12:00 AM

After today’s (Monday’s) market close, Wendy’s (WEN; Buy) announced it plans to launch breakfast nationwide during 2020 — and that as part of this, it’s lowering its financial targets for 2019, and removing its financial targets for 2020. The shares are down in after-market trading by about -5% as of this writing.

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DIN Adios to Our Prior Q3E Forecasts

By Mark Kalinowski Published on August 29, 2019 at 12:00 AM

Given weaker-than-expected same-store sales trends in the family-dining and casualdining sector quarter-to-date, we lower our Q3E same-store sales forecasts for IHOP and Applebee’s (both owned by Dine Brands [DIN; Neutral]). For IHOP, our Q3E samestore sales estimate is reduced by -140 basis points, to +0.8%, which becomes the new “low on the sell-side” forecast, according to Consensus Metrix data. For Applebee’s, we take down our Q3E projection by -150 basis points, to -1.5%, as compared to current sell-side consensus of -1.2%.

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YUM Updating Our Forecasts Ahead of Yum Brands 8.1 Earnings Release

By Mark Kalinowski Published on July 22, 2019 at 12:00 AM

Ahead of Yum Brands’ (YUM; Buy) second-quarter earnings release scheduled for before the market open on Thursday, August 1st, we raise our Q2 EPS estimate by $0.01 to $0.89, placing us two cents above sell-side consensus according to Consensus Metrix. Our EPS estimate increase is driven by (1) an update to our Q2E Taco Bell same-store sales projection to +5% (which places us as tied for the high on the sell-side in this respect), from our prior +4%, and versus consensus of +3.7% (please keep in mind that Yum Brands does not report its same-store sales out past the decimal point), and (2) taking up our worldwide Q2E KFC same-store sales estimate to +4% (from +3%).

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