MCD: Raising our Q1E U.S. Same-Store Sales Forecast to the Sell-Side High

By Ryan D. Lavender Published on April 5, 2021 at 4:58 PM

With this report, we increase our Q1E U.S. same-store sales forecast for McDonald’s by +190 basis points, to +12.2%. According to Consensus Metrix data, this becomes the new “high on the sell-side forecast.” Sell-side consensus is presently at +9.7%.

Read More

WEN: Raising our Q1E U.S. Same-Store Sales Forecast to the Sell-Side High

By Ryan D. Lavender Published on April 5, 2021 at 4:54 PM

With this report, we increase our Q1E U.S. same-store sales forecast for Wendy’s by +150 basis points, to +11.5%. According to Consensus Metrix data, this becomes the new “high on the sell-side forecast.” Sell-side consensus is presently at +10.0%.

Read More

Updating our Q1E Kalinowski Quick-Service Burger Same-Store Sales Index

By Ryan D. Lavender Published on April 5, 2021 at 4:04 PM

With this report, we update our data-driven Kalinowski Quick-Service Burger Index for Q1E to +10.9%. This +10.9% figure reflects implicit monthly numbers of about +10% for January 2021 (helped by consumer spending driven by stimulus), +2% for February 2021 (reflecting a dwindling of the prior month’s stimulus benefits, and coupled with bad weather across a good chunk of the U.S. in mid-to-late February), and +30% for March (helped by more stimulus-related consumer spending, plus easy year-over-year comparisons being lapped from mid-to-late March 2020).

Read More