Updating our Q1E Kalinowski Casual Dining Same-Store Sales Index

By Ryan D. Lavender Published on March 24, 2021 at 4:22 PM

With this report, we update our data-driven Kalinowski Casual Dining Index for Q1E to -1.2%. This figure is based on our latest proprietary checks/data as regards same-store sales performance for this segment during January, February, and the first half of March. Our implied numbers for this January, February, and all of March are approximately -19%, -20%, and +45%, respectively. (Please note that equal-weighting these months would result in a number equal to +1.7%, but due to much less relative business in March 2020 as compared to January/February 2020, the March 2021 figure is relatively less weighted when we calculate our Q1 index number.)

Updating our Q4E Kalinowski Restaurant Industry Same-Store Sales Index

By Mark Kalinowski Published on January 25, 2021 at 12:00 AM

With this report, we update our data-driven Kalinowski Restaurant Industry Index for Q4E to -2.4%. While this is a lot better than Q2 2020’s -17.5%, and similar to Q3 2020’s -2.0%, it is somewhat disappointing in the context that as of mid-October we thought there was a 40% chance that Q4 2020 would turn positive. That was not meant to be.

BlackBox Implications for Restaurant Industry Same-Store Sales

By Mark Kalinowski Published on March 5, 2020 at 12:00 AM

This is the final report in our series of reports showing the correlation between the widely-watched BlackBox Index — which aggregates same-store sales from 175+ restaurant concepts representing $75 billion in domestic systemwide sales — with various publicly-traded restaurant concepts’ same-store sales.