DPZ Updating Our Forecasts (Again)

By Mark Kalinowski Published on August 26, 2020 at 12:00 AM

Less than a week ago, we raised our Q3E same-store sales and EPS estimates in our report “DPZ: Updating Our Forecasts” (today’s report is best read in conjunction with that report). With this report, we further take up our Q3E same-store sales projection for Domino’s International business, by +150 basis points to +4.5%. Sellside consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) is at +2.0% as of this writing.

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PZZA The Papa John’s Train Keeps a-Rollin’

By Mark Kalinowski Published on August 25, 2020 at 12:00 AM

Earlier today, Papa John’s (PZZA; Buy, $98.54) provided what we view as a favorable business update.

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PZZA (Post-Call) A Shaq-tastic Q2 and July

By Mark Kalinowski Published on August 6, 2020 at 12:00 AM

Earlier today, Papa John’s (PZZA; Buy, $99.14) reported adjusted Q2 EPS of $0.48, coming in meaningfully above our $0.35 forecast and sell-side consensus of $0.44. We had been concerned that costs related to franchisee assistance — which amounted to a -$0.12 hit in Q2 — would hold back Q2 earnings, but the strength of the business (North American same-store sales up a previously-announced +28.0%) more than made up for this. Built into our Q2E estimate heading into today was an EPS hit of -18 cents related to franchisee assistance, so even specific to Q2, this came in +6 cents better than we expected.

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