By Mark Kalinowski
Published on June 13, 2019 at 12:00 AM
Not too long ago, the Dunkin’ concept owned and franchised by Dunkin’ Brands Group (DNKN; Neutral) filed its 700+ page Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) for 2019. In this report, we cite some of the highlights from that document following our review of it, including our review of it in comparison to last year’s Franchise Disclosure Document. For example, we note that the average cost of goods sold for a Dunkin’ unit in the continental U.S. for the 12 months ended October 31, 2018 was 26.9% of sales (please keep in mind that all Dunkin’ units are franchised). The average labor cost was 27.8% of sales. These figures were up year-over-year by ten basis points and 20 basis points, respectively. Also, the average freestanding Dunkin’ unit in the continental U.S. generated average sales of $1,299,700 (for the 12-month period ending October 27, 2018) for units with a drive-thru, and average sales of $1,032,159 (for the same time period) for units lacking a drive-thru. The year-ago averages from the 2018 FDD were $1,299,922 and $1,041,001, respectively. We maintain our Neutral rating on DNKN and note the following:
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By Mark Kalinowski
Published on May 1, 2019 at 12:00 AM
Earlier today, Yum Brands (YUM; Buy) reported Q1 adjusted EPS of $0.82, surpassing our $0.72 forecast (which had incorporated an anticipated -$0.09 hit from markto-market of Yum’s investment in GrubHub [GRUB; Not Rated]) and the $0.81 consensus number (likely not apples-to-apples with our forecast). Yum notes that “We reflected the change in fair value of our investment in Grubhub by recording $20 million of pre-tax investment expense, resulting in a negative ($0.05) impact in EPS.”
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By Mark Kalinowski
Published on April 22, 2019 at 12:00 AM
Ahead of Yum Brands’ (YUM; Buy) first-quarter earnings release — scheduled for before the market open on Wednesday, May 1st — we look at a key positive and a key risk surrounding YUM. Most importantly on the positive side of the ledger, based on our data-driven checks, we raise our Q1 same-store sales forecast for Taco Bell by one percentage point, to +5%, as we believe that brand’s momentum, innovation, and differentiation continue to pay off. Promotions during various parts of the first quarter included Steak Rattlesnake Fries, the Steak Rattlesnake Burrito, the return of the Naked Chicken Chalupa, and the return of Nacho Fries. Our Q2E same-store sales forecast is also boosted by one percentage point, to +4%, and that is not a bestcase scenario if the second quarter trends well. We’ll see…
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