Family Dining Market Share Opportunities for IHOP, Denny’s, and CBRL (Updated)

By Mark Kalinowski Published on December 14, 2020 at 12:00 AM

About six months ago, we published a report examining market-share opportunities within the family dining sector. In this report, we update our numbers. One of the important changes is that we now look for 10%-25% of the family dining restaurants in the U.S. that were in operation as of the start of 2020 to be closed permanently by the end of March 2021. (Previously, we were looking for 5%-10% of family dining restaurants to be closed permanently by the end of December 2020.) Keep in mind that we expect these closures to be heavily weighted toward independents/momand-pops and, to a somewhat lesser degree, smaller (privately-held in nearly all cases) restaurant chains.

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Casual Dining Market Share Opportunities for Large Concepts

By Mark Kalinowski Published on December 8, 2020 at 12:00 AM

About six months ago, we published a report examining market-share opportunities within the casual dining sector. In this report, we update our numbers. One of the important changes is that we now look for 8%-20% of the casual dining restaurants in the U.S. that were in operation as of the start of 2020 to be closed permanently by the end of March 2021. (Previously, we were looking for 3%-15% of casual dining restaurants to be closed permanently by the end of December 2020.) Keep in mind that we expect these closures to be heavily weighted toward independents/momand-pops and, to a somewhat lesser degree, smaller (privately-held in nearly all cases) restaurant chains.

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DIN The Bull and Bear Cases on Dine Brands

By Mark Kalinowski Published on August 13, 2020 at 12:00 AM

In this report we examine the bull and bear cases regarding Dine Brands (DIN; Buy, $53.56). While we maintain our Buy rating on DIN — in fact, we believe there is even more reason to be bullish on DIN following its Q2 earnings release and related conference call — it is good for investors interested in DIN to be aware of the bull and bear cases surrounding the stock, no matter what our rating on the shares is.

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