WEN Our Data-Driven Checks Regarding November Sales Suggest…

By Mark Kalinowski Published on December 11, 2018 at 12:00 AM

Our data-driven checks regarding Wendy’s (WEN; Neutral) suggest softness during November. As such, we lower our Q4E same-store sales for the Wendy’s North America system by 70 basis points to a new sell-side low (according to Consensus Metrix data) of 0.0%. Our checks for November 2018 were the worst for any month in our process since those we did for February 2012. While our 70 basis-point reduction in our Q4E same-store sales forecast is not enough to budge our $0.15 EPS estimate for Q4E, upside potential on both the same-store sales front and the EPS front in the near term may be limited. And, depending on how December goes, there may be some downside risk. We reiterate our Neutral rating on WEN, and note the following:

Read More

The BlackBox Index for November 2018 is…

By Mark Kalinowski Published on December 6, 2018 at 12:00 AM

Earlier today (Thursday, December 6th), we learned that the BlackBox Index of samestore sales for November 2018 was +1.1%, with same-store traffic down by -1.8%.

Read More

Restaurants Links to All Reports from Kalinowski Equity Research in Nov 2018

By Mark Kalinowski Published on December 2, 2018 at 12:00 AM

This report lists and provides links to all reports published by Kalinowski Equity Research in November 2018. During November 2018, our firm published 18 reports (10 industry reports and 8 company reports).

Read More