Updating our Q3E Kalinowski Restaurant Industry Same-Store Sales Index

By Mark Kalinowski Published on October 14, 2020 at 12:00 AM

With this report, we update our data-driven Kalinowski Restaurant Industry Index for Q3E to -2.3%. Given all of the upheaval of the last six months, this is a number that should be considered favorably, even though it is in negative territory. It marks substantial sequential improvement from Q2 2020’s -17.5% figure, and is even better than Q1 2020’s -3.3% showing.

Updating our Q3E Kalinowski Quick-Service Other Same-Store Sales Index

By Mark Kalinowski Published on October 13, 2020 at 12:00 AM

With this report, we update our data-driven Kalinowski Quick-Service Other Index for Q3E to +4.3%. As a reminder, we define “quick-service other” as all quick-service concepts excluding the pizza, burger, and sandwich categories.

Updating our Q3E Kalinowski Fast-Casual Same-Store Sales Index

By Mark Kalinowski Published on October 12, 2020 at 12:00 AM

With this report, we update our data-driven Kalinowski Fast-Casual Index for Q3E to +3.6%. While the overall number for the fast-casual sector is in positive territory for Q3, there is a wide variety of performances in terms of same-store sales by individual brand. Wingstop (WING; Not Rated) has already reported +25.4% same-store sales growth for its Q3, and we would not be surprised to see Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG; Not Rated) exceed sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of +6.4% when it reports its Q3 results on after the market close on Wednesday, October 21st.