By Mark Kalinowski
Published on November 12, 2019 at 12:00 AM
With Wendy’s (WEN; Buy) planning to launch a nationwide breakfast business in Q1 2020, and aiming to generate $1 billion in annualized sales from this initiative fairly quickly, we thought it might be wise to examine exactly which restaurant concepts out there might be most at risk from share loss from Wendy’s breakfast launch — and to what (quantified) degree. In our view, the publicly-traded concepts most at risk include McDonald’s (MCD; Neutral), Burger King (owned by Restaurant Brands International [QSR; Not Rated]), and Dunkin’ (owned by Dunkin’ Brands Group [DNKN; Neutral]).
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By Mark Kalinowski
Published on July 31, 2019 at 12:00 AM
Earlier today, Dine Brands (DIN; Neutral) — the owner of the IHOP family-dining concept and the Applebee’s casual-dining concept — reported adjusted Q2 EPS of $1.71. While this came in slightly ahead of our recently-lowered $1.70 forecast, it fell short of the $1.81 sell-side consensus.
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By Mark Kalinowski
Published on July 8, 2019 at 12:00 AM
With third-party delivery aggregators continuing to grow, providing additional convenience to the consumer, we decided to look at various quarterly data provided by Grubhub (GRUB; Not Rated), correlating these data sets with various sectors’ same-store sales (for U.S. chain restaurants). To do this, we used six different Kalinowski Restaurant Industry Index sector indices, which are sorted by brand type and based on the weighted-average components from 48 different publiclytraded restaurant concepts. (The weightings are based on each concept’s 2018 U.S. systemwide sales, as measured by Technomic.)
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