PZZA Possible Implications from Domino’s Lead to Updated Forecasts

By Mark Kalinowski Published on October 8, 2020 at 12:00 AM

Earlier today, Domino’s (DPZ; Buy, $403.46) reported a Q3 EPS miss relative to our expectations (and sell-side consensus). This miss was not caused by same-store sales trends, which came in above expectations for both the U.S. and International segments in Q3. Below the top line, multiple issues came into play, including spending related to the pandemic (such as higher pay for front-line employees, higher sick pay, and the need to buy more cleaning equipment), and what Domino’s described as all-time high cheese costs.

DPZ (Post-Call) Higher Cheese and G&A Costs Matter

By Mark Kalinowski Published on October 8, 2020 at 12:00 AM

Earlier today, Domino’s reported that its Q3 EPS came to $2.49, short of our $2.79 forecast and sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of $2.78 (which had been at $2.73 as recently as eight days ago).

Updating our Q3E Kalinowski Casual Dining Same-Store Sales Index

By Mark Kalinowski Published on October 7, 2020 at 12:00 AM

With this report, we update our data-driven Kalinowski Casual Dining Index for Q3E to -19.6%. This figure is based on our latest proprietary checks/data as regards same-store sales performance for this segment during July, August, and September. Our implied numbers for these three months are about -24%, -19%, and -16%, respectively.