By Mark Kalinowski
Published on July 28, 2020 at 12:00 AM
Earlier today, McDonald’s (MCD; Buy, $199.26) reported Q2 EPS of $0.65, short of our $0.85 forecast and sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of $0.73. There was a $31 million one-time payment to distribution centers for obsolete inventory, and an increase in bad debt reserve (related to rents and royalty deferrals) of $45 million. By our math, these items combined represent about 8 cents on an EPS basis. For more info see today’s 8-K at:
http://d18rn0p25nwr6d.cloudfront.net/CIK-0000063908/ fea3a523-303b-43df-830a-5228f5ee4148.pdf
Read More
By Mark Kalinowski
Published on July 16, 2020 at 12:00 AM
Earlier today, Domino’s (DPZ; Buy, $408.48) reported Q2 EPS of $2.99, well ahead of our $2.15 forecast and sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of $2.27. Even excluding a better-than-expected tax rate (4.7% actual vs. our 19.4% estimate and consensus of 17.8%), Q2 EPS would have been +37 cents better than our forecast and +30 cents better than consensus. Better-than-expected G&A/ Revenues (9.6% actual vs. our 11.5% estimate and consensus of 10.6%) accounted for +23 cents of the EPS beat relative to consensus.
Read More
By Mark Kalinowski
Published on May 27, 2020 at 12:00 AM
Earlier today, Papa John’s (PZZA; Buy, $76.32) reported that its North American same-store sales rose by a remarkable +33.5% for the April 27-May 24 timeframe. This comes on the heels of the previously-announced +26.9% for March 30-April 26, suggesting that Q2-to-date North American same-store sales are up by roughly +30% through May 24th. We raise our full-Q2E forecast by +900 basis points to +28.0%, which includes implied projections for May 25-June 28 of +20% for company-owned stores and +25% for franchised outlets.
Read More
