Correlating Grubhub Data and U.S. Restaurant Sectors Same-Store Sales Trends

By Mark Kalinowski Published on July 8, 2019 at 12:00 AM

With third-party delivery aggregators continuing to grow, providing additional convenience to the consumer, we decided to look at various quarterly data provided by Grubhub (GRUB; Not Rated), correlating these data sets with various sectors’ same-store sales (for U.S. chain restaurants). To do this, we used six different Kalinowski Restaurant Industry Index sector indices, which are sorted by brand type and based on the weighted-average components from 48 different publiclytraded restaurant concepts. (The weightings are based on each concept’s 2018 U.S. systemwide sales, as measured by Technomic.)

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Ask the Experts Call Series Black Bear Diner

By Mark Kalinowski Published on June 18, 2019 at 12:00 AM

Kalinowski Equity Research invites you to participate in our first “Ask the Experts” conference call, to take place starting at 2:00 PM Eastern time on Thursday, June 27th. The featured speakers will be Bruce Dean, Co-founder and CEO of fast-growing family-dining concept Black Bear Diner; and Anita Adams, President and CFO of Black Bear Diner.

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MCD Updating our Forecasts 2019

By Mark Kalinowski Published on May 12, 2019 at 12:00 AM

Given our latest data-driven checks, we raise our Q2E same-store sales forecast for McDonald’s U.S. by 60 basis points, to +4.6%, placing us 60 basis points above consensus (according to Consensus Metrix data) and also as the second-highest forecast in this regard on the sell-side. We believe McDonald’s continues to benefit for a number of reasons, some of which we pointed to in our May 6th report “April Burger-Sector Sales Trends Compared to March…” — we encourage you to read that report if you have not yet done so.

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