Earlier today, Papa John’s (PZZA; Buy, $98.54) provided what we view as a favorable business update.
With this report, we raise our Q3E same-store sales forecasts and EPS estimate for Domino’s. For U.S. same-store sales, we move up our Q3E projection by +200 basis points, to +14.0% (above current sell-side consensus of +12.1%, according to Consensus Metrix). We believe that U.S. quick-service pizza sector same-store sales momentum coming off of an exceptional Q2 has been retained to a greater degree than anticipated so far into Q3, and it’s likely Domino’s — the largest pizza concept in the U.S. — is participating in this trend.
Earlier today, Yum Brands (YUM; Neutral, $94.25) filed an 8-K which included a business update. As a result, we raise our Q2E EPS estimate by +5 cents, to $0.55. Our full-year 2020E EPS forecast goes up by +10 cents, to $3.00. And, given this higher anticipated base of earnings coming off of this year, we raise our 2021E EPS projection by +5 cents, to $3.80.