After Thursday’s market close, The Cheesecake Factory (CAKE; Neutral, $29.94) reported adjusted Q3 EPS of -$0.33, better than our forecast of -$0.45, and also better than sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of -$0.37.
With this report, we update our data-driven Kalinowski Casual Dining Index for Q3E to -19.6%. This figure is based on our latest proprietary checks/data as regards same-store sales performance for this segment during July, August, and September. Our implied numbers for these three months are about -24%, -19%, and -16%, respectively.
With this report, we update our data-driven Kalinowski Fine Dining Index for Q3E to -36.3%. This figure is based on our latest proprietary checks/data as regards samestore sales performance for this segment during July 2020 and August 2020, as well as our best guess for what September 2020 is bringing us. The approximate monthly figures we use are -40% for July 2020, -35% for August 2020, and -30% for September 2020.