SBUX: Updating Our Same-Store Sales and EPS Estimates

By Ryan D. Lavender Published on April 12, 2021 at 4:44 PM

Ahead of Starbucks’ fiscal Q2 earnings release planned for after the market close on Tuesday, April 27th, we raise our fiscal Q2E U.S. same-store sales forecast by +1 percentage point, to +9%. According to Consensus Metrix data, this places us as the “high forecast on the sell-side” in this regard. As of this writing, sell-side consensus for fiscal Q2E U.S. same-store sales is at +6.7%, although remember that Starbucks does not report its same-store sales out past the decimal point.

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WEN (Post-Call): Expects Q1 U.S. Same-Store Sales to Rise by About +10%

By Ryan D. Lavender Published on March 3, 2021 at 5:40 PM

Earlier today, Wendy’s reported Q4 2020 adjusted EPS of $0.17. While this was one cent better than our $0.16 forecast, it still came in one cent below sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of $0.18. Wendy’s indicates that the EPS number was ahead of its internal plan.

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SBUX (Post-Call) June and July Sales Trends Better than Expected

By Mark Kalinowski Published on July 28, 2020 at 12:00 AM

After today’s market close, Starbucks (SBUX; Buy, $74.64) reported fiscal Q3 (calendar Q2) adjusted EPS of -$0.46 — better than our -$0.63 forecast and sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of -$0.62. In its June 10th business update, Starbucks indicated it was then targeting fiscal Q3 adjusted EPS of -$0.55 to -$0.70. Fiscal Q3 EPS coming in better than the high end of the target range relates to better-than-expected June same-store sales (for example, June U.S. same-store sales down by -19%).

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