PZZA The Bull and Bear Case on Papa John’s

By Mark Kalinowski Published on July 9, 2020 at 12:00 AM

In this report we examine the bull and bear cases regarding Papa John’s (PZZA; Buy, $88.26). While we maintain our Buy rating on PZZA — it continues to be our top small/mid-cap restaurant-stock pick — it is good for investors interested in PZZA to be aware of the bull and bear cases surrounding the stock, no matter what our rating on the shares is.

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PZZA (Post-Call) A Welcome Return to Positive Comps December 18th Field Trip

By Mark Kalinowski Published on November 6, 2019 at 12:00 AM

Earlier today, Papa John’s (PZZA; Buy) reported Q3 adjusted EPS of $0.21, short of our $0.23 forecast and sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of $0.22. The company’s full-year 2019 adjusted EPS target range stays at $1.00-$1.20. We keep our Q4E EPS projection unchanged at $0.35. Given that Q3 missed our EPS estimate by two cents, this brings down our full-year 2019E EPS forecast by two cents, to $1.15. Please note that as of this writing, sell-side consensus is at $1.13. (Our full-year 2020E and 2021E EPS estimates remain unchanged at $1.55 and $1.75, respectively.)

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WEN (Post-Call) The Calm Before the Breakfast Storm

By Mark Kalinowski Published on November 6, 2019 at 12:00 AM

Earlier today, Wendy’s (WEN; Buy) reported adjusted Q3 EPS of $0.19, coming in ahead of our $0.15 forecast and sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of $0.15. We attribute the earnings beat to two main factors: (1) better-thanexpected success of Spicy Chicken Nuggets, which drove Q3 same-store sales up by +4.4%, the third-best quarterly showing this decade, and (2) a more favorable-thanexpected adjusted tax rate.

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