Wednesday April 27, 2022, 18:25:39

CAKE (Post-Call): Strong Sales Momentum, But Cost Issues Remain Stubborn

By Mark Kalinowski

After today’s market close, The Cheesecake Factory reported adjusted Q1 EPS of $0.47. This was short of our $0.52 estimate, as well as sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of $0.51.

Read more

Monday March 14, 2022, 07:00:00

CAKE: Does Stock’s Downdraft Present an Opportunity for Longs?

By Mark Kalinowski

Some challenges facing The Cheesecake Factory today likely will continue to do so for much or all of 2022. For example, in its mid-February conference call, management noted at that time that it anticipated commodity inflation of low-double digits on an annual basis, including mid-teens presume in Q1, dwindling down to mid-to-high single-digit pressure in Q4. Wage inflation is presumed to be +5% this year. And, of course, that February 16th conference call came before Russia invaded Ukraine on February 24th.

Read more

Wednesday February 16, 2022, 18:25:17

CAKE (Post-Call): Financial Targets from Call May Ease Some Investors’ Concerns

By Mark Kalinowski

After today’s (Wednesday’s) market close, The Cheesecake Factory reported adjusted Q4 EPS of $0.49, falling short of our $0.62 forecast and sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of $0.58. Management comments that “We believe our operating results would have been in line with expectations but for the softer sales trend during the last two weeks of the quarter which coincided with the Omicron surge.”

Read more