Tuesday April 7, 2020, 00:00:00
By Mark Kalinowski
We lower our U.S. systemwide same-store sales estimates for Denny’s (DENN; Buy) as follows:
Q1E 2020: down by -10.0 percentage points to -8.0%
Q2E 2020: down by -61.0 percentage points to -60.0%
Q3E 2020: down by -31.5 percentage points to -30.0%
Q4E 2020: down by -11.5 percentage points to -10.0%
Full-year 2020E: down by -28.5 percentage points to -27.5%
Full-year 2021E: up by +11.0 percentage points to +12.5%
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Tuesday February 11, 2020, 00:00:00
By Mark Kalinowski
After today’s (Tuesday’s) market close, Denny’s (DENN; Buy) reported adjusted Q4 2019 EPS of $0.23, ahead of our $0.16 forecast and sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of $0.17. Factors in the Q4 EPS outperformance include: (1) better-than-expected Product Costs/Company Restaurant Sales (24.3% actual vs. our 24.8% forecast), (2) better-than-expected Payroll & Benefits/Company Restaurant Sales (37.6% actual vs. our 38.1% estimate, (3) better-than-expected Other Operating Costs/Company Restaurant Sales (14.2% actual vs. our 15.5% projection, (4) better-than-expected G&A Expenses/Revenues (13.5% actual vs. our 14.2% estimate), (5) better-than-expected D&A/Revenues (3.7% actual vs. our 4.3% forecast), (6) better-than-expected net interest expense ($3.57 million actual vs. our $4.50 million projection), and (7) a favorable tax rate (20.0% actual vs. our 21.3% estimate).
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Monday November 25, 2019, 00:00:00
By Mark Kalinowski
We recently hosted a Denny’s (DENN; Buy) non-deal roadshow (NDR) in New York City. We thank Denny’s CEO John Miller and Senior Director Investor Relations Curt Nichols for their participation! Following the NDR, we feel more confident in our bullish thesis on DENN. We maintain our Buy rating on DENN, and note the following:
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