Thursday March 28, 2024, 07:00:00

DENN: Adjusting Our Estimates (3/28/2024)

By Mark Kalinowski

This morning, we published an industry report entitled “Updating our Q1 Kalinowski Family Dining Same-Store Sales Index.” We encourage you to read that report in conjunction with this Denny’s note.

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Tuesday February 13, 2024, 18:02:48

DENN (Post-Call): Anticipates 2024 Adjusted EBITDA of $85-$89 Million

By Mark Kalinowski

After today’s (Tuesday’s) market close, Denny’s reported Q4 2023 adjusted EPS of $0.14, falling short of our $0.17 estimate and sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of $0.17. Legal costs as well as a higher-than-expected tax rate weighed on Q4 EPS. Fourth-quarter adjusted EBITDA reached $18.6 million, as compared to our $23.6 million projection and consensus of $23.2 million.

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Monday January 29, 2024, 07:10:00

DENN: Adjusting Our Estimates (1/29/2024)

By Mark Kalinowski

We believe that January has proven a tough month as regards same-store sales for a wide swath of the restaurant industry, including the family dining segment. Based on our conversations with industry contacts, bad weather – lapping a mild winter from one year ago – clearly seems to be the #1 reason behind the challenged January sales trends. As of today, it’s possible that February could prove to be similarly challenged.

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