Friday June 28, 2019, 00:00:00

DIN Updated EPS Estimates Lead to Ratings Change on Dine Brands

By Mark Kalinowski

Based on what we believe is our newly-improved quarter-by-quarter understanding of the Dine Brands (DIN) model, and in the context of the stock’s +40.1% year-todate rise through the market’s close on June 27th, we reduce our rating on DIN to Neutral (from Buy), and adjust our quarterly EPS estimates for Q2E-Q4E as follows:

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Tuesday June 25, 2019, 00:00:00

DIN 2019 Franchise Disclosure Document Review for IHOP

By Mark Kalinowski

Not too long ago, IHOP (owned and franchised by Dine Brands [DIN; Buy]) filed its 500+ page Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) for 2019. In this report, we cite some of the highlights from that document following our review of it, including our review of it in comparison to last year’s Franchise Disclosure Document. For example, the footnote to the National Advertising Fee — currently 3.5% of total Gross Sales — indicates that “Commencing on January 1, 2023, the National Advertising Fee will be the greater of: (i) 2.25% of total Gross Sales or (ii) the National Advertising Fee set forth in at least 88% of IHOP franchise agreements, as amended, in effect as of January 1, 2023 (“2023 Franchise Agreements”). Commencing on January 1, 2023, the Local Advertising Fee will be (i) .75% of total Gross Sales or (ii) if the National Advertising Fee is at least 3.5%, the Local Advertising Fee set forth in at least 88% of the 2023 Franchise Agreements. These fees will be electronically debited from your account if we request that you participate in our electronic funds transfer program authorizing us to receive payments from you by pre-authorized bank draft, wire transfer, automated clearinghouse transfer or otherwise.” The 2019 FDD indicates that “There is currently no required local advertising fee.” We maintain our Buy rating on DIN and note the following:

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Monday June 3, 2019, 00:00:00

Updating our Q2E19 Kalinowski Family Dining Same-Store Sales Index (Again)

By Mark Kalinowski

With this report, we increase our data-driven Kalinowski Family Dining Index for Q2E for the second time this quarter. This time, we increase the figure by +60 basis points, to +3.0%. Our updated figure is based on our latest proprietary checks/data as regards same-store sales performance for this segment over the course of May 2019.

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