Tuesday October 8, 2019, 00:00:00

DPZ (Post-Call) Updating EPS Estimates for G&A and Other Items

By Mark Kalinowski

Earlier today, Domino’s (DPZ; Neutral) reported Q3 EPS of $2.05, a little short of our $2.09 forecast and sell-side consensus of $2.07. Tax rate (21.7% actual vs. our 20.0% projection) accounts for the difference between our EPS estimate and the actual.

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Wednesday September 25, 2019, 00:00:00

DPZ Introducing Some EPS Estimates Update on Plant-Based Beef

By Mark Kalinowski

With this report, we introduce our quarterly EPS estimates for 2020E for Domino’s (DPZ; Neutral) as follows: (1) Q1E $2.40, (2) Q2E $2.32, (3) Q3E $2.40, and (4) Q4E $3.58. These quarterlies sum to our unchanged full-year 2020E EPS forecast of $10.70. Please keep in mind that 2020 is a 53-week fiscal year for Domino’s.

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Tuesday September 3, 2019, 00:00:00

DPZ Changing Our Rating on the Shares of Domino’s

By Mark Kalinowski

With this report, we downgrade the shares of Domino’s (DPZ) to Neutral (from Buy). Our downgrade reflects (1) growing concerns that over the next 12-18 months, competition from third-party delivery aggregators will have a larger (i.e., worse) effect on Domino’s U.S. same-store sales than they did over the last 12-18 months, (2) our worries that the law of large numbers may have finally caught up with Domino’s U.S. following the annual +5.4% to +12.0% same-store sales gains of 2013-18, (3) rising competition from the leading fast-casual pizza concepts, particularly privately-held Blaze Pizza, whose co-founder Rick Wetzel comments “There’s a huge opportunity to go at Domino’s in particular,” and (4) the possibility of a reinvigorated Papa John’s (PZZA; Buy) down the road, given that concept’s recent hire of a new “change agent” CEO.

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