Thursday April 29, 2021, 13:14:00

DPZ (Post-Call): Among the Best 2-Year Numbers in the US Restaurant Industry

By Ryan D. Lavender

Earlier today, Domino’s reported Q1 EPS of $3.00. This was higher than our $2.95 forecast and sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of $2.94. We attribute the EPS outperformance to better-than-expected same-store sales in both the U.S. and International business segments.

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Monday March 29, 2021, 16:06:00

DPZ: Updating our EPS and Same-Store Sales Forecasts

By Ryan D. Lavender

With this report, we increase our Q1E U.S. same-store sales forecast for Domino’s by +260 basis points, to +10.5%. As of this writing, sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) is at +9.4%. Our increased forecast represents factors including: (1) quick-service delivery specialists still seem to be more appreciated by consumers in general, (2) stimulus-related consumer spending in January and in March, and (3) the return of the March Madness college basketball tournament — generating TV ratings on par with 2019 levels, unlike many other major sports games/events — seems to be driving demand for pizza delivery.

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Thursday February 25, 2021, 17:53:00

DPZ (Post-Call): Tougher Year-on-Year Comparisons Getting Closer

By Ryan D. Lavender

Earlier today, Domino’s reported Q4 EPS of $3.85, above our $3.50 projection, but a little short of sell-side consensus of $3.88 (according to Consensus Metrix). The $3.85 figure includes a +39 cent boost from 2020’s extra, 53rd accounting week. The next 53-week fiscal year for Domino’s will be 2026.

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