Sunday January 27, 2019, 00:00:00

Tidbits re SBUX, Applebee’s (owned by DIN), DNKN, and CMG

By Mark Kalinowski

We briefly note the following tidbits regarding Starbucks (SBUX; Neutral), Applebee’s (owned by Dine Brands [DIN; Buy]), Dunkin’ (owned by Dunkin’ Brands Group [DNKN; Neutral]), and Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG; Not Rated):

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Wednesday January 23, 2019, 00:00:00

DNKN DATA-DRIVEN CHECKS LEAD TO RATINGS CHANGE…

By Mark Kalinowski

Based on our data-driven checks, we upgrade the shares of Dunkin’ Brands Group (DNKN) from Neutral to Buy. Our checks regarding the fourth quarter lead us to raise our Q4E same-store sales forecast for the core Dunkin’ U.S. business by 60 basis points, to +2.1%, which according to Consensus Metrix data becomes the new sellside high. Sell-side consensus is at +1.4% as of this writing.

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Wednesday January 23, 2019, 00:00:00

Updating our Q4E Kalinowski Quick-Service Other Same-Store Sales Index 1.19

By Mark Kalinowski

With this report, we update our data-driven Kalinowski Quick-Service Other Index for Q4E from +2.2% to +3.1%. This 90 basis-point increase is based on our latest proprietary checks/data as regards same-store sales performance for the second half of November and all of December.

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