Monday April 5, 2021, 16:58:00

MCD: Raising our Q1E U.S. Same-Store Sales Forecast to the Sell-Side High

By Ryan D. Lavender

With this report, we increase our Q1E U.S. same-store sales forecast for McDonald’s by +190 basis points, to +12.2%. According to Consensus Metrix data, this becomes the new “high on the sell-side forecast.” Sell-side consensus is presently at +9.7%.

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Tuesday March 16, 2021, 16:49:00

MCD: The Bull and Bear Cases on McDonald’s

By Ryan D. Lavender

In this report we examine the bull and bear cases regarding McDonald’s (MCD; Buy, $220.46). While we maintain our Buy rating on MCD — it continues to be our top large-cap restaurant-stock pick — it is good for investors interested in MCD to be aware of the bull and bear cases surrounding the stock, no matter what our rating on the shares is.

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Thursday January 28, 2021, 16:14:00

MCD (Post-Call): Updating Our 2021E & 2022E EPS Projections

By Ryan D. Lavender

Earlier today, McDonald’s reported $1.70 in adjusted Q4 EPS, lower than our $1.72 forecast and sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of $1.77. Fourth-quarter Company-Operated Restaurant Expenses/Sales by CompanyOperated Restaurants came in at 85.2%, worse than our 82.8% estimate.

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