Friday October 23, 2020, 00:00:00

MCD McDonald’s Franchisee Survey Leads to Updated Q4E Forecasts

By Mark Kalinowski

McDonald’s plans to release its full-Q3 earnings before the market open on Monday, November 9th, to be followed that day by the related earnings release conference call and a Virtual Investor Update. McDonald’s has already released its Q3 samestore sales results, including a U.S. advance of +4.6%.

Read more

Monday October 5, 2020, 00:00:00

MCD “Colores” Us Impressed Updating Our Q3E Forecasts (Again)

By Mark Kalinowski

For the second time in a month, we raise our Q3E same-store sales forecast for McDonald’s U.S. — this time by +60 basis points, to +3.6%. This is based on robust same-store sales from the second half of September, thanks largely to: (1) a limitedtime promotional tie-in with rapper Travis Scott (which launched September 8th), and (2) a limited-time offer featuring Spicy Chicken McNuggets (which launched September 16th). Both of these promotions did so well that at times restaurants were sold out of the items involved well before the official promotional end dates.

Read more

Tuesday September 29, 2020, 00:00:00

Updating our Q3E Kalinowski Quick-Service Burger Same-Store Sales Index

By Mark Kalinowski

With this report, we update our data-driven Kalinowski Quick-Service Burger Index for Q3E to +3.6%. This figure is based on our latest proprietary checks/data as regards same-store sales performance for this segment during July 2020 and August 2020, as well as our best guess for what September 2020 is bringing us. The approximate monthly figures we use are +2% to +3% for July 2020, +3% to +4% for August 2020, and approximately +6% for September 2020.

Read more