Thursday May 27, 2021, 12:22:00

PZZA: Sometimes Dough Rises, Sometimes EPS Estimates Do Too

By Ryan D. Lavender

Based on Papa John’s recent announcement that it will repurchase/convert all the convertible preferred stock owned by a strategic investor, we raise our full-year 2021E EPS estimate by +15 cents, to $3.00. And, based on this higher anticipated base of earnings coming off of this year — as well as net EPS benefits from the repurchase/conversion in Q1 2022 and the first half of Q2 2022, that did not accrue in Q1 2021 and the first half of Q2 2021 — we take up our full-year 2022E EPS forecast by +15 cents, to $3.40.

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Thursday May 6, 2021, 13:26:00

PZZA (Post-Call): Q1 was Indeed Epic

By Ryan D. Lavender

Earlier today, Papa John’s reported adjusted Q1 EPS of $0.90, well above our $0.53 forecast and sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of $0.56. The EPS outperformance appears mainly driven by much better-than-expected same-store sales. The Q1 tax rate of 20.4% was a little more favorable than our 21.0% estimate, as well.

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Tuesday March 30, 2021, 17:05:00

PZZA: How Does Papa John’s Trade Heading Into, and After, Earnings?

By Ryan D. Lavender

Papa John’s likely will release its Q1 2021 earnings in early May. How do PZZA shares tend to trade heading into earnings, and the day of (for a before-the-market-open) or after (for an after-the-market-close) an earnings release?

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