Tuesday March 31, 2020, 00:00:00

PZZA Updating Our Same-Store Sales and EPS Estimates for 2020E & 2021E

By Mark Kalinowski

We adjust our North America blended (company-owned and franchised combined) same-store sales estimates for Papa John’s (PZZA; Buy) as follows:
Q1E 2020: up by +130 basis points to an actual of +5.3%
Q2E 2020: down by -30 basis points to +3.7%
Q3E 2020: down by -10 basis points to +2.9%
Q4E 2020: stays at +2.5%
Full-year 2020E: up by +20 basis points to +3.6%
Full-year 2021E: up by +40 basis points to +3.0%

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Wednesday February 26, 2020, 00:00:00

PZZA (Post-Call) Brand-Fixing Efforts Bearing Fruit, But EPS Guidance Light

By Mark Kalinowski

Earlier today, Papa John’s (PZZA; Buy, $62.10) reported Q4 2019 adjusted EPS of $0.37. This exceeded our $0.35 forecast and sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of $0.33.

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Monday December 23, 2019, 00:00:00

PZZA Our Meeting with Management in Louisville 2

By Mark Kalinowski

We recently met with Papa John’s (PZZA; Buy) — including (1) President and CEO Rob Lynch, (2) CFO Joe Smith, and (3) VP Strategic Planning Steve Coke — in Louisville, Kentucky. We thank them for their time! Topics of interest that were asked about include culinary innovation, relations with franchisees, and why Mr. Lynch decided to leave his prior employer to become Papa John’s CEO. We maintain our Buy rating on PZZA, and note the following:

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