Monday September 28, 2020, 00:00:00

Updating our Q3E Kalinowski Fine Dining Same-Store Sales Index

By Mark Kalinowski

With this report, we update our data-driven Kalinowski Fine Dining Index for Q3E to -36.3%. This figure is based on our latest proprietary checks/data as regards samestore sales performance for this segment during July 2020 and August 2020, as well as our best guess for what September 2020 is bringing us. The approximate monthly figures we use are -40% for July 2020, -35% for August 2020, and -30% for September 2020.

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Wednesday September 23, 2020, 00:00:00

Updating our Q3E Kalinowski Family Dining Same-Store Sales Index

By Mark Kalinowski

With this report, we update our data-driven Kalinowski Family Dining Index for Q3E to -29.0%. This figure is based on our latest proprietary checks/data as regards samestore sales performance for this segment during July 2020 and August 2020, as well as our best guess for what September 2020 is bringing us. The approximate monthly figures we use are -35% for July 2020, -29% for August 2020, and -25% for September 2020.

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Monday July 6, 2020, 00:00:00

Quick-Service Pizza Market Share Opportunities for DPZ & PZZA

By Mark Kalinowski

Is it possible the Street is underestimating sales and market-share opportunities in 2021 for the larger publicly-traded quick-service pizza concepts? We believe that Domino’s (DPZ; Buy, $374.09) and Papa John’s (PZZA; Buy, $83.66) both remain well-positioned for the future for multiple reasons, but this particular factor may be underappreciated. Incidentally, it’s possible for Pizza Hut (owned by Yum Brands [YUM; Neutral, $86.55]) to benefit from the same issue, although Pizza Hut will over the short-to-medium term likely have to deal with net unit closures, limiting to some meaningful degree its opportunity to take market share from other pizza outlets’ closures.

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