Thursday February 15, 2024, 11:04:04
By Mark Kalinowski
Data out today from the U.S. Census shows that restaurants’ market share (with grocery stores/supermarkets making up the other component) was 55.9% in January 2024. This 55.9% figure ties the all-time monthly record, and is up by +90 basis points on a year-over-year basis.
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Tuesday February 13, 2024, 09:10:25
By Mark Kalinowski
The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data shows that prices for food-at-home (grocery stores and supermarkets) rose by +1.2% in January (sequentially down by -10 basis points from December’s +1.3%). This +1.2% number compares with price for food-away-from-home (restaurants) that increased by +5.1% year-over-year in January (sequentially down by -10 basis points from December’s +5.2%). This marks the 11th month in a row for which restaurant pricing is outpacing grocery/supermarket pricing.
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Thursday January 18, 2024, 07:00:00
By Mark Kalinowski
With this report, we update our data-driven Kalinowski Restaurant Industry Index for Q4 2023 to +3.7%. This is -130 basis points sequentially below the Q3 2023 figure of +5.0%. However, it’s nearly equal to the 35-quarter (Q1 2015-Q3 2023) median of +3.6%. With a lot of macro factors that greatly impacted 2020-23 same-store sales fading into the background (albeit not all of them), we may be back – finally! — to what might be considered “normal” same-store sales trends. We’ll see if 2024 plays out that way (or not).
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