Wednesday December 9, 2020, 00:00:00

SBUX Company Targets Outsized EPS Growth in Fiscal 2021 & Fiscal 2022

By Mark Kalinowski

Earlier today, Starbucks hosted its biennial Analyst Meeting — this time doing so virtually. The company highlights its Growth at Scale agenda, pointing out that it plans to be a positive force in the lives of all of its stakeholders. Some highlights from today’s meeting:

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Thursday October 29, 2020, 00:00:00

SBUX (Post-Call) Starbucks’ Brand Power Asserting Itself

By Mark Kalinowski

After today’s market close, Starbucks reported adjusted fiscal Q4 EPS of $0.51, ahead of our $0.33 estimate and sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of $0.31. Factors in the EPS beat included: (1) a favorable tax rate (approximately 14.3% actual, vs. our 26.0% forecast), (2) better-than-expected Store Operating Expenses/Company-Operated Retail Sales (51.9% actual vs. our 54.7% forecast), and (3) better-than-anticipated G&A/Revenues (6.0% actual vs. our 6.9% forecast), partially offset by other factors (such as D&A/Revenues of 5.9% actual vs. our 5.3% projection).

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Wednesday October 21, 2020, 00:00:00

SBUX Updating Estimates Ahead of 10.29 Earnings Release (and Tidbits)

By Mark Kalinowski

Starbucks plans to report its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings after the market close on Thursday, October 29th. Ahead of that release, we move up our fiscal Q4E U.S. samestore sales forecast by +2 percentage points, to -11%. This reflects the previouslyannounced -14% number from July and -11% figure from August. Implicitly, our updated full-Q4E projection presumes about a -8% to -9% estimate for September. FYI, according to Consensus Metrix, sell-side consensus for full-fiscal Q4E is at -11.8% (although keep in mind that Starbucks does not report out its same-store sales past the decimal point).

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