Monday December 11, 2023, 07:00:00

SBUX: Updating Our Forecasts, and…

By Mark Kalinowski

Based on what we believe have been softer-than-expected U.S. same-store sales trends so far in fiscal Q1 2024 (calendar Q1 2023), we reduce our fiscal Q1E North American same-store sales forecast by -2 percentage points, to +5%. As of this writing, sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) is at +6.7%, although keep in mind that Starbucks does not report out its same-store sales numbers past the decimal point.

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Thursday November 9, 2023, 07:00:00

SBUX (Post-Call): Does Starbucks Workers United Seek to Help or Harm Starbucks?

By Mark Kalinowski

To what extent is the so-called “Starbucks Workers United” – the SEIU-affiliated organization working to make more U.S. company-owned Starbucks outlets unionized, and all the ramifications that such actions entail – engaging in its efforts to generally help Starbucks and its stakeholders, including employees? On the other hand, to what extent is “Starbucks Workers United” simply hostile to Starbucks – working not in partnership to create a better enterprise overall, but simply trying to extract as much money and resources from the company as it can get away with, all the while cheering on harm to Starbucks?

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Thursday November 2, 2023, 10:05:13

SBUX (Post-Call): Tasty Fiscal Q4 Results and Realistic Fiscal 2024 Targets

By Mark Kalinowski

Earlier today (Thursday), Starbucks reported fiscal Q4 adjusted EPS of $1.06, surpassing our $0.98 forecast and sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of $0.97.

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