Thursday April 15, 2021, 16:58:00

YUM: How Does Yum Brands Trade Heading Into, and After, Earnings?

By Ryan D. Lavender

Yum Brands plans to release its Q1 2021 earnings before the market open on Wednesday, April 28th. How do YUM shares tend to trade heading into earnings, and the day of (for a before-the-market-open) or after (for an after-the-market-close) an earnings release?

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Thursday April 8, 2021, 16:50:00

YUM: Updating Our Same-Store Sales and EPS Estimates

By Ryan D. Lavender

With this report, we boost our Q1E same-store sales forecasts as follows: (1) for Taco Bell, up by +1 percentage point to +7% (according to Consensus Metrix, sell-side consensus is at +5.7%, although be aware that Yum Brands does not report its samestore sales out past the decimal point), and (2) for KFC U.S., up by +1 percentage point to +13% (consensus is at +11.6%).

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Tuesday March 9, 2021, 16:55:00

YUM: What Concept Could Yum Acquire Next?

By Ryan D. Lavender

On January 6, 2020, Yum Brands announced its plan to acquire The Habit Burger Grill, which as of full-year 2019 was the 17th-largest burger concept in the U.S. (in terms of domestic systemwide sales, at $450+ million), and in the top 100 overall. The Habit Burger Grill is meaningfully smaller than Yum’s core brands of KFC, Taco Bell, and Pizza Hut. As such, the acquisition of Habit (which closed on March 18, 2020) suggests that: (1) Yum Brands may be generally acquisitive in the future (incidentally, in keeping with current general industry trends), and (2) it isn’t hesitant to make an acquisition that it believes will create shareholder value in the long term, even if the size of that acquisition isn’t all that large relative to its core brands today.

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