Wednesday April 29, 2020, 00:00:00
Yum Brands (YUM; Neutral, $88.27) reported adjusted Q1 EPS of $0.64 — ahead of our $0.50 forecast, and a little short of sell-side consensus (according to Consensus Metrix) of $0.66. Yum notes that its investment in Grubhub (GRUB; Not Rated) cost it -6 cents of EPS in Q1.
Friday April 24, 2020, 00:00:00
With this report, we change our rating on Yum Brands (YUM; $85.61) to Neutral (from Buy). This change largely reflects the following factors: (1) currencies that may work against Yum’s earnings over the remainder of 2020, (2) other costs that may creep up in Q2, (3) the possibility of store closures hurting Q2 by more than the Street anticipates, (4) possible same-store sales issues at Taco Bell, and (5) YUM shares’ +55% rise off of its 52-week low, which has allowed it to come within less than 50 cents of our $86 target price (which we now move to “NA” with this report. We note the following:
Thursday March 26, 2020, 00:00:00
We lower our worldwide aggregate same-store sales estimates for Yum Brands (YUM; Buy) as follows:
Q1E 2020: down by -8 percentage points to -8%
Q2E 2020: down by -23 percentage points to -23%
Q3E 2020: down by -15 percentage points to -13%
Q4E 2020: down by -7 percentage points to -5%
Full-year 2020E: down by -14 percentage points to -13%
Full-year 2021E: up by +5 percentage points to +7%
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